Election Fraud In Alaska In 2008

Courtesy of John Foelster:

In this video and others like it, I will be talking to you about the likelihood that the 2008 elections in Alaska were tainted by electronic Electoral Fraud, that an insider in Alaska’s State Division of Elections used the known weaknesses in the DIEBOLD or Premier Elections Systems voting machines to change the results in favor of the Republican Party…

The lines of evidence are as follows:

  1. The polls in 2008 indicated that the Democrats in Alaska would do much better than they did in the reported results.
  2. In 2012, there was a large swing to President Obama, one that was too large to have been caused by Governor Palin no longer being on the Republican ticket.
  3. The number of Democrats in the electorate in 2012 was significantly lower than the number in 2008.
  4. The report on electorate composition this information can be found in appears to have been reformatted in an attempt to draw attention away from it.
  5. The 2008 results are unique in recent Alaska history for having very Democratic Absentee results and very Republican in precinct results.
  6. A variation on a known technique for compromising AV-OS machines would have produced the effects described above, and this hack could have been introduced by one person working in Juneau.
  7. The size of the above anomaly varies from district to district based on the number of registered Democrats in precincts with AV-OS voting machines.
  8. The State Review Board’s Hand Count Audit of the paper ballots could also have been compromised by this same single person.

There is more though.  This may shed some light on the reasons behind Governor Sarah Palin’s 2009 resignation.  The hypothesis that electoral fraud was committed can be corroborated or disproven by examining the precinct registries and the partisan affiliations of the absentee and early voters.

Now you travel back in time to 2008, there were a number of well known bloggers who were astonished at the results coming in. Courtesy of Jeanne Devon at The Mudflats:

Crunching the Numbers in Alaska.

6 11 2008

OK…

I’m not generally a conspiracy theorist. I say “generally”, because sometimes conspiracies happen. And sometimes it would be foolish to ignore them. The only thing worse than being labeled a conspiracy theorist, is being labeled a gullible idiot when it all comes to light. So I invite you to hop on board the Conspiracy Theory Express with me for a moment, because it’s pulling out of the station here in Alaska, ready to take you on a five minute tour.

As the final numbers roll in from state and national elections, I and others have noticed some results that are interesting at best, and highly suspect at worst. Either way, they deserve some scrutiny.

Let’s look at the national numbers first. Keep in mind that Alaska’s very own Governor, and the new GOP golden girl, Sarah Palin, was on the ticket. And Barack Obama has excited progressive Alaskans like no candidate before. He had five field offices, great ground organization, and inspired the biggest candidate rally in Alaska history. Voter turnout here was expected to be through the roof and breaking all records.

In 2004, 66% of registered voters turned out to vote in the presidential election between George Bush and John Kerry.

In 2008, including the votes still outstanding, only 54% of registered voters turned out.

And the strangest part of all? Voter turnout in the primaries, before Palin was even on the ticket, was up 12% from 2004. We also had more than 20,000 new registered voters.

Curious.

As these strange numbers rolled in at Election Central, I was there watching. Here’s how it fell out over time.

With 36% of the precincts reporting:
61.76% for McCain
35.64% for Obama

With 81.3% reporting
61.54% for McCain
35.69% for Obama

With 96.1% reporting
61.29% for McCain
35.96% for Obama

Alaska, like many states, has blue areas and red areas. The Mat-Su Valley, home of Sarah Palin is very very red. Anchorage? Blue. The Kenai Peninsula? Red. Juneau? Blue. You get the idea. When I, and my fellow progressive celebrants watched the first numbers come in, we thought, “That must be the Valley”, because the latest polls actually had the presidential race neck and neck with Obama only 2.7 points behind. We kept waiting for the progressive areas of the state to kick in, but they never did. No fluctuations one way or the other more than .3%. And George Bush won the 2004 election her by a margin of…..61-35.

Strange.

Then, we’ve got the two Congressional races.

Ted Stevens vs. Mark Begich. The convicted felon is currently ahead by about 3300 votes, with about 60,000 absentee and early votes left to count. It’s a squeaker, and Begich may pull this one off. By why is it a squeaker when the last poll had Begich 22 points ahead? He’d been running at a dead heat in the polling before Ted’s conviction, but after the seven felony convictions came in, Begich’s lead widened considerably. Pretty stunning turnaround for Stevens.

Remarkable.

How about Ethan Berkowitz vs. Don Young for the Congressional seat?

Berkowitz consistently led Young in every single poll since May by 5-14 points. Contrary to this comfortable and consistent lead, Don Young managed to pull off a stunning upset by trouncing Berkowitz by more than 7 points.

Amazing.

And since history is always our best teacher, let’s look back at the 2004 elections in Alaska. The majority of precincts had voter turnout of over 100%. In some cases, voter turnout was over 200%. Either Alaskans are enthusiastic about their vote to the point of breaking the law and voting twice, or there’s something very very wrong.

(From Shannyn Moore) There are 40 districts in Alaska. The Anchorage area districts run from District 17 to District 32. Scroll down to the bottom of the page and pick any district from 17-32. Pay particular attention to the 3rd column labeled % turnout. Hit the back arrow and select another district. There are more precincts with voter turnout over 100% than under 100%. In other words, many more people voted in Anchorage area precincts than there were registered voters. Clearly, this is not possible. In 2006, the Democrats filed a lawsuit against the Alaska Division of Elections to release public records needed to verify the 2004 election results. The Democrats ALSO sought to have the Alaska Division of Elections release the raw election data for the 2006 election.

It’s been more than 24 hours since the polls closed in Alaska, and the red flags are already waving.

OK, the Conspiracy Theory Express bus 5-minute tour is over, and you may now hop off. This was just a test drive. Keep your eyes on how the final numbers turn out. Democracy requires vigilance, and hopefully our state candidates will not be afraid to stand their ground. The Obama campaign had a team of lawyers at the ready in case election fraud was detected. It’s a wise precaution, and an obligation to the electorate whose fundamental rights hang in the balance. If I were Ethan Berkowitz or Mark Begich or Barack Obama, I’d make sure I took the process to the end, and took advantage of the media spotlight which still shines on our state, before it vanishes, and we are left to sort out our election questions in the dark. Sunshine is the best disinfectant.

UPDATE – Here’s some new coverage on this topic from The Washington Post and from 538.com.

The Shannyn Moore link that Jeanne provides is well worth having a peek at. She had some very pertinent information. Mark Begich and Bill Walker, I hope are on top of this. I have no doubt that fraud was committed. Thank you John for bringing it to our attention.

Update: John’s work has been discussed at this blog.

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15 Responses to Election Fraud In Alaska In 2008

  1. grannyj1 says:

    I have been waiting for this post. Off to read.

  2. dowhat? says:

    BOO!!
    HAPPY HALLOWEEN!!

  3. Tumbleweed1 says:

    That is fecking scary.
    Bar none.

    Irishgirl!….Who the hell IS this person posting pics on your blog.

    Whoa.

    Heh, heh.

  4. titlewave says:

    This could happen anywhere in the country- so scary. I’m also betting not every losing candidate has the resources Obama had to look into it. Very disheartening.

    Great post, thanks IG and John

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